trading education
Oct 23, 2026
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3 min read
"Senate control hinges on unwanted nominees," per Axios this morning. Kalshi now gives Republicans a 34% chan...
Oct 22, 2026
Polymarket now gives Clayface above an 80% Tomatometer score a 84% chance, up from 20% yesterday.
Oct 21, 2026
Kalshi gives the Democrat a 76% chance to win a state Dems haven't carried since 2006.
Oct 20, 2026
Kalshi gives Milwaukee a 62% chance to win it all, but Tampa Bay just climbed +7pp overnight.
Oct 19, 2026
Kalshi gives the Democrat a 68% chance to flip the seat, two weeks before Nov. 3.
Oct 16, 2026
Kalshi gives Republicans a 38% chance to hold the seat. A Marist poll has the Democrat up by two.
