Pythia

Pythia

trading education

A Batman villain movie just cleared it

Oct 22, 2026

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3 min read

A Batman villain movie just cleared it

Polymarket now gives Clayface above an 80% Tomatometer score a 84% chance, up from 20% yesterday.

Ohio attack ad backfires on Ramaswamy

Oct 21, 2026

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3 min read

Ohio attack ad backfires on Ramaswamy

Kalshi gives the Democrat a 76% chance to win a state Dems haven't carried since 2006.

The Brewers-Rays series is tightening

Oct 20, 2026

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3 min read

The Brewers-Rays series is tightening

Kalshi gives Milwaukee a 62% chance to win it all, but Tampa Bay just climbed +7pp overnight.

Michigan's Senate race has a quiet favorite

Oct 19, 2026

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3 min read

Michigan's Senate race has a quiet favorite

Kalshi gives the Democrat a 68% chance to flip the seat, two weeks before Nov. 3.

Texas Senate race is a toss-up now

Oct 16, 2026

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3 min read

Texas Senate race is a toss-up now

Kalshi gives Republicans a 38% chance to hold the seat. A Marist poll has the Democrat up by two.

New press secretary, instant exit market

Oct 15, 2026

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3 min read

New press secretary, instant exit market

Zacharia was named to the job on October 9, held her first briefing Monday (about fifteen minutes, three ques...

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